Breeders' Futurity, TCA and Turf Mile Preview

Three stakes races at Keeneland on Saturday are WAYI races. Lets take a look at them:

6th Race - Keeneland - Saturday, October 4th, 2014

STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $200,000. Thoroughbred Club of America S. (Grade 2). FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. (04:00 PM)

PP	Horse	A/S	M/E	Wgt	Jockey	Trainer
1	Anahauc	4 F	L	120	Borel Calvin H.	Flint Bernard S.
2	Leigh Court	4 F	L	122	Boulanger Gary	Carroll Josie
3	R Free Roll	4 F	L	122	Smith Mike E.	Ziadie Kirk
4	Northern Passion	5 M	L	122	Husbands Patrick	Casse Mark E.
5	Stonetastic	3 F	L	120	Lopez Paco	Breen Kelly J.
6	Southern Honey	3 F	L	120	Leparoux Julien R.	Arnold, II George R.
7	Speedinthruthecity	4 F	L	122	Napravnik Rosie	Asmussen Steven M.
8	Janis's Joy	5 M	L	120	Goncalves Leandro R.	Heitzmann Eric L

Anahauc (Henny Hughes): 3rd in the River Cities Handicap and 4th in the West Virginia Secretary of State. Finished up track in both graded stakes starts.

Leigh Court (Grand Slam): Won the Seeway in lone start of the year, 4th in last year's Queen Elizabeth. 1st and 2nd in her lone two dirt starts.

R Free Roll (Rockport Harbor): Won the Honorable Miss and U Can Do It. Defeated males last year in a prep for the Carry Back.

Northern Passion (First Samurai): 6th in the Presque Isle Masters and 4th in the Seeway. Uptrack in lone dirt start which was at 2.

Stonetastic (Mizzen Mast): Won the Prioress and an Allowance/Optional Claimer. First start at Keeneland.

Southern Honey (Colonel John): 3rd in the Prioress and 9th in the Test. Had won previous three before that.

Speedinthruthecity (City Zip): 3rd in the Smart and Fancy, before that 4th in the Honorable Miss. 2 previous starts at Keeneland didn't go well, but that was on a synthetic surface.

Janis's Joy (Broken Vow): 3rd in the Open Mind and 2nd in the Hoist Her Flag. 1 for 1 at Keeneland, granted on a synthetic surface.

Picks

Win- R Free Roll
Place- Stonetastic
Show- Leigh Court

8th Race - Keeneland - Saturday, October 4th, 2014

STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (Grade 1). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (05:08 PM)

PP	Horse	A/S	M/E	Wgt	Jockey	Trainer
1	Tough Customer	2 C	L	121	Bridgmohan Shaun	Catalano Wayne M.
2	Firespike	2 C	L	121	Smith Mike E.	Maker Michael J.
3	Sharm	2 C	L	121	Saez Luis	Lukas D. Wayne
4	Mr. Z	2 C	L	121	Court Jon Kenton	Lukas D. Wayne
5	Carpe Diem	2 C	L	121	Velazquez John R.	Pletcher Todd A.
6	Bold Conquest	2 C	L	121	Napravnik Rosie	Asmussen Steven M.
7	Conquest Tsunami	2 C	L	121	Husbands Patrick	Casse Mark E.
8	Dekabrist	2 C	L	121	Clark Kerwin D.	Dorochenko Gennadi
9	Ike Walker	2 C	L	121	Albarado Robby	Stidham Michael
10	Hashtag Bourbon	2 C	L	121	Leparoux Julien R.	Gorder Kellyn
11	Keen Ice	2 C	L	121	Lanerie Corey J.	Romans Dale L.
12	W V Jetsetter	2 C	L b	121	Rosario Joel	Weaver George

Tough Customer (Giant's Causeway): Won lone start of career.

Firespike (Flower Alley): Broke maiden last time out, before that was 3rd in a maiden.

Sharm (Majestic Warrior): 3rd in the Hopeful, has yet to break his maiden.

Mr. Z (Malibu Moon): 5th in the Iroquois and 2nd in the Saratoga Special. Most experienced graded stakes horse.

Carpe Diem (Giant's Causeway): One start, one win.

Bold Conquest (Curlin): 2nd in the Iroquois and broke his maiden. Sire's best son to date Palace Malice ran second in the Bluegrass (albeit on synth) last year.

Conquest Tsunami (Stormy Atlantic): Won an Allowance and Colin in his last two. Was scratched out of the Summer to go here.

Dekabrist (Street Boss): 8th in the Iroquois and 5th in the Hopeful. Has to prove he can handle a track outside of Gulfstream.

Ike Walker (Bellamy Road): 5th in the Arlington-Washington Futurity and broke his maiden. Synth to dirt.

Hashtag Bourbon (Super Saver): 3rd in the Iroquois and won the Mountaineer Juvenile. Had a terrible trip last time.

Keen Ice (Curlin): 4th and then a win in his two starts. Dam is 1/2 to stakes winner Coal Play.

W V Jetsetter (Jet Phone): 3rd in the Hopeful and won the TTA Sales Futurity

Picks

Win- Hashtag Bourbon
Place- Bold Conquest
Show- Carpe Diem

9th Race - Keeneland - Saturday, October 4th, 2014

STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $1,000,000. Shadwell Turf Mile S. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:45 PM)

PP	Horse	A/S	M/E	Wgt	Jockey	Trainer
1	Sayaad	4 C	L	126	Leparoux Julien R.	McLaughlin Kiaran P.
2	Optimizer	5 H	L	126	Garcia Alan	Fernandez Jose
3	Grand Arch	5 G	L	126	Moran David	Lynch Brian A.
4	Silver Max	5 H	L	126	Albarado Robby	Romans Dale L.
5	Kaigun	4 G	L	126	Husbands Patrick	Casse Mark E.
6	Wise Dan	7 G	L	126	Velazquez John R.	LoPresti Charles
7	Two Notch Road	7 G	L	126	Lopez Paco	Thompson Glenn R.
8	Seek Again	4 C	L	126	Rosario Joel	Mott William I.

Sayaad (Street Sense): 4th in the Baruch and 5th in the Fourstardave. Was 5th in the Hill Prince last year which was his other graded stakes start.

Optimizer (English Channel): 2nd in the Baruch by a nose and 12th in the Elkhorn. Could be a factor if this is taken off turf.

Grand Arch (Arch): 5th in the Woodbine Mile and 2nd in the Fourstardave. Better likely going longer then shorter.

Silver Max (Badge of Silver): Defending champ was 6th in the Fourstardave and won the Firecracker. The champ will be gunning for him at the end.

Kaigun (Northern Afleet): Just lost the Woodbine Mile and won the Play the King. Looking for that G1 win.

Wise Dan (Wiseman's Ferry): Won the Baruch after his colic scare and Woodford Reserve. Lost this race when it was taken off the turf, can he turn the tables on Silver Max?

Two Notch Road (Partner's Hero): Won the Punch Line and 5th in the McSorley. Most graded stakes starts have been up the track finishes.

Seek Again (Speightstown): Won the Fourstardave and 3rd in the Manhattan. Finished right behind WD in the Woodford Reserve, and has the best chance to upset him.

Picks

Win- Wise Dan: I do this with a little bit of concern. He may not have been fully cranked for the Baruch, but he is still the king of the mile distance.

Place- Seek Again: Had been debating between him and Kaigun, and went with him off his Fourstardave win.

Show- Kaigun/Optimizer/Silver Max: All three of these horses like the two I have in the Win and Place spots can win this race. I just don't have as much faith in them as I do the top two.

Dark Horse- Silver Max

I had planned to do a video preview on the Shadwell Turf Mile, but due to lack of time I wasn't prepared enough to do one. However, there will be one on the Spinster which is Sunday.