Thursday, October 30, 2014

Distaff Preview

The final race on Friday for the BC will be the Distaff. Here is this year's field:

2014 Breeders' Cup Longines Distaff (gr. I) Oct. 31 4:35 PM PDT

Post
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
1
L'Amour de Ma Vie
Maxime Guyon
Pia Brandt
2
Tiz Midnight
Victor Espinoza
Bob Baffert
3
Iotapa
Joe Talamo
John W. Sadler
4
Belle Gallantey
Jose Ortiz
Rudy Rodriguez
5
Unbridled Forever
John R. Velazquez
Dallas Stewart
6
Stanwyck
Corey Nakatani
John A. Shirreffs
7
Don't Tell Sophia
Joseph Rocco, Jr.
Philip A. Sims
8
Valiant Emilia
Rafael Bejarano
Gary Mandella
9
Ria Antonia
Paco Lopez
Thomas M. Amoss
10
Untapable
Rosie Napravnik
Steven M. Asmussen
11
Close Hatches
Joel Rosario
William I. Mott

L'Amour de Ma Vie (Dansili (GB)): 7th and 4th in two G1's in France.

Pros: G2 winner in Dubai and G2 placed in England.
Cons: First US start, has faltered in G1 races overseas.

Tiz Midnight (Midnight Lute): 2nd in the Zenyatta which was her stakes debut.

Pros: Sire won the Sprint twice, trainer has many BC race winners.
Cons: Took awhile to break her maiden, dam faltered in the Distaff.

Iotapa (Afleet Alex): 3rd in the Zenyatta and won the Clement L. Hirsch.

Pros: Held Beholder's top spot well during the Summer with 2 G1 wins.
Cons: Only 2 wins at Santa Anita.

Belle Gallantey (After Market): Won the Beldame and 6th in the Personal Ensign.

Pros: Speed will be a monster factor, if she gets to get lead easily don't be surprised if she goes gate to wire.
Cons: Since entering stakes company she has run good, poor races in every other race.

Unbridled Forever (Unbridled's Song): 2nd in the Indiana Oaks and 8th in the Alabama.

Pros: Has shown good form in most of her races against her own age group, mom upset the Kentucky Oaks.
Cons: Tough class test may cost her in the end.

Stanwyck (Empire Maker): 4th in the Beldame and 3rd in the Personal Ensign.

Pros: ½ brother Tiago won the Santa Anita Derby and another ½ brother Giacomo won the Kentucky Derby both surprise wins.
Cons: Not in the same category as Life is Sweet and Zenyatta, both Distaff winners who had the same trainer as she yet.

Don't Tell Sophia (Congaree): Won the Locust Grove and Spinster.

Pros: At 6 looks to put it together with only 1 lost on the year.
Cons: Will be only her 3rd G1 start of her career.

Valiant Emilia (Pegasus Wind): Won the Cesar del Rio Suito to earn her spot into this year's Distaff.

Pros: South American horses have had success winning the Distaff.
Cons: Hasn't faced the class that she will be in the US.

Ria Antonia (Rockport Harbor): 2nd in the Spinster and 4th in the Locust Grove.

Pros: Defending champ of the Juvenile Fillies (via DQ)
Cons: Only one solid start this year, mismanagement.

Untapable (Tapit): Won the Cotillion and 5th in the Haskell.

Pros: Rebounded nicely against own sex.
Cons: Older Females are better, three years fillies really haven't shown enough for 2 turn races.

Close Hatches (First Defence): 4th in the Spinster, won the Personal Ensign.

Pros: Best Older Female in the race.
Cons: Spinster form carry over.

Picks

Win- My Miss Sophia
Place- Close Hatches
Show- Tiz Midnight

Dark Horse- Stanwyck

Video Preview

(not sure why there's no sound for the intro, but for the field there is)

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